Archive 2014

• 12.12.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.12 (170)

  Real GDP in the third quarter of 2014 contracted by 5.3% yoy (flash Ukrstat estimate was decline by 5.1% yoy). On the demand side, domestic demand dropped sharply.
  
  Highlight: Reform agenda - FISCAL CONSOLIDATION AS A BASE FOR SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

  Issue:  No.12 (170) December 2014
• 11.11.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.11 (169)

  According to the ‘flash’ estimate of Ukrstat real GDP declined by 5.1% yoy in the third quarter of 2014. On the demand side, real consumption and investments contributed negatively to economic growth, while real net exports had likely positive contribution. On the production side, real gross value added likely increased in agriculture and some services sectors.
  
  Highlight: Gas deal - HOW WILL UKRAINE SURVIVE THE WINTER?

  Issue:  No.11 (169) November 2014
• 13.10.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.10 (168)

  Industrial output in August contracted sharply by 21.4% yoy mainly due to the military conflict in Donbas. Many companies in the region have terminated or stopped their operation.
  
  Highlight: DCFTA implementation - DELAY IN DCFTA IMPLEMENTATION: TACTICAL GAIN OR LOSS?

  Issue:  No.10 (168) October 2014
• 11.09.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.9 (167)

  Real GDP declined by 4.6% yoy in the second quarter of 2014. Real private consumption contracted by 2.3% yoy likely due to decline in disposable income. Financial constraints against the background of high economic and political uncertainty resulted in drop of real fixed capital accumulation by 18.5% yoy.
  
  Highlight: NBU policy - WHERE THE NBU IS GOING

  Issue:  No.9 (167) September 2014
• 11.08.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.8 (166)

  Real GDP declined by 4.7% yoy in the second quarter of 2014 according to preliminary Ukrstat estimate. This likely reflects falling investment and slowdown in consumption.
  
  Highlight: Budget amendments - BUDGET LAW AND TAX CODE AMENDMENTS: WILL THEY IMPROVE THE SITUATION?

  Issue:  No.8 (166) August 2014
• 11.07.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.7 (165)

  Decline in industrial output in May decelerated to 2.1% yoy primarily due to statistical base effect. Output in extraction industry decreased by 3.3% yoy, which might be explained by unrest in Donetsk and Lugansk regions.
  
  Highlight: Association Agreement - ECONOMIC COMPONENT OF THE AGREEMENT: STIMULUS FOR REFORMS

  Issue:  No.7 (165) July 2014
• 13.06.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.6 (164)

  Real GDP declined by 1.1% yoy in the first quarter of 2014. Real private final consumption grew by 5.7% yoy due to increase in real disposable income. Real net exports also made a positive contribution to GDP growth.
  
  Highlight: War in Donbas - CIVIL WAR OR RUSSIAN AGGRESSION?

  Issue:  №6 (164) June 2014
• 12.05.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.5 (163)

  Industrial output in March declined by 6.8% yoy. Manufacturing output dropped by 8.1% yoy due to weak domestic and external demand. Production of metallurgy contracted by 11.1% yoy from low statistical base primarily due to decline in exports to Russia.
  
  Highlight: Stand-by Arrangement - MORE REFORMS, MORE SUPPORT – HIGHER STABILITY

  Issue:  №5 (163) May 2014
• 11.04.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.4 (162)

  According to Ukrstat revised data, real GDP in the first three quarters of 2013 declined by 1.2% yoy. This decline was offset by real GDP growth in the fourth quarter at 3.3% yoy. As a result, real GDP in 2013 remained at the level of 2012.
  
  Highlight: Anti-crisis measures - CAN THE GOVERNMENT ENSURE MACROECONOMIC STABILITY?

  Issue:  No.4 (162) April 2014
• 13.03.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.3 (161)

  Industrial output in January declined by 5% yoy from already low base of January 2013. In particular, manufacturing output dropped by 9.4% yoy likely due to lower demand as well as high political and economic uncertainty.
  
  Highlight: Ukraine-Russia - FROM REVOLUTION TO EXTERNAL AGGRESSION

  Issue:  No.3 (161) March 2014
• 12.02.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.2 (160)

  According to the preliminary Ukrstat estimate real GDP did not change in 2013. After declining during five quarters in a row real GDP finally grew by 3.7% yoy in the fourth quarter of 2013 due to positive contribution of agricultural production growth.
  
  Highlight: Budget 2014 - ARE THERE CHANCES TO SURVIVE?

  Issue:  No.2 (160) February 2014
• 14.01.2014

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.1 (159)

  The trends in industry did not change substantially in November. In particular, industrial output declined by 4.7% yoy as domestic and external demand remained weak.
  
  Highlight: Year 2013 - THE YEAR IN REVIEW

  Issue:  No.1 (159) January 2014