Archive 2012

• 29.12.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  In 2013 the global economic situation is expected to improve, which would allow Ukraine’s real GDP to grow by 1.3% despite slowdown of domestic demand.

  Issue:  No.12 (64)December 2012
  Authors:  Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
• 01.12.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  Ukraine’s economy will start the new year with two main challenges: pressure on the exchange rate and insufficient fiscal revenues.

  Issue:  No.11 (63) November 2012
  Authors:  Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
• 01.11.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  According to the preliminary Ukrstat estimates real GDP declined by 1.3% yoy in the third quarter of 2012 bringing GDP growth over nine months of 2012 to 1.1% yoy.

  Issue:  No.10 (62) October 2012
  Authors:  Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
• 01.10.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – quarterly issue - "Risks remain high"

  Overall, real GDP is expected to grow by 1.3% in 2012. Further slowdown in other countries, especially crisis in the EU, as well as domestic political instability are among major downside risks

  Issue:  No.9 (61) September 2012
  Authors:  Kravchuk Vitaliy, Betliy Oleksandra
• 31.08.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  Although economic activity in the second half of 2012 may be lower than expected we are still likely to keep our estimate of real GDP growth at near 1.9% in 2012 due to high estimates of real GDP growth in the first half of the year.

  Issue:  No.8 (60) August 2012
  Authors:  Kravchuk Vitaliy, Betliy Oleksandra
• 30.07.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  According to NBU estimates real GDP in the first half of 2012 grew by 2.5% yoy, which is slightly above our expectations. We are likely to keep estimate of real GDP growth at 1.9%.
  Issue:  No.7 (59) July 2012
  Authors:  Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
• 27.06.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – quarterly issue - "Still growing"

  Overall, real GDP growth is likely to decelerate to 1.9% in 2012. High downside risks are mostly related to the crisis in the EU and further slowdown in other countries. Besides, political instability related to coming Parliament elections somewhat could hamper investments.

  Issue:  No.6 (58) June 2012
  Authors:  Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
• 31.05.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  The Institute will revise downwards the real GDP growth from current 2.9%. The economic growth in 2013 might be slower than currently expected due to continued problems in the EU and high risk premium on external borrowing.

  Issue:  No.5 (57) May 2012
  Authors:  Kravchuk Vitaliy, Betliy Oleksandra
• 28.04.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  We believe that economy will be stagnating in the second quarter with a moderate rebound in the last two quarters. The approved increase in social spending is not likely to impact our GDP forecast significantly.

  Issue:  No. 4 (56) April 2012
  Authors:  Kravchuk Vitaliy, Betliy Oleksandra
• 31.03.2012

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – monthly issue

  The Ukrstat revised quarterly estimates of real GDP for 2011, which were the base of our last forecast. Real GDP growth is likely to accelerate in 2013, but will remain moderate at around 4%.

  Issue:  No.3 (55) March 2012
  Authors:  Kravchuk Vitaliy, Betliy Oleksandra