Archive 2009

• The third quarter was better than expected

  07.11.2009
  Free

  GDP: The real GDP might contract less than 15.0% in 2009 thanks to better economic developments in the third quarter. Real GDP will grow by 3.4% in 2010.

  Issue:  No.11 (27) November 2009
  Forecasting period:  years 2009 and 2010
  Forecast end:  Date of forecast completion: November 24, 2009
  Pessimistic scenario:  Later than assumed recovery of global economy and increased political pressure remain the major risks for economic development in Ukraine. Under pessimistic scenario the real GDP will drop by 16.2% in 2009 and further decline by 0.2% in 2010.
  Optimistic scenario:  In case of faster recovery of the economic activity in Ukraine the real GDP is estimated to decline by 13.4% in 2009 and grow by 5.2% in 2010.
  Reviewer:  Veronika Movchan
  Attached file  (148 kb)
  Authors:  Furmanets Kateryna, Naumenko Dmytro, Kobylyanska Alla, Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
  Tags:  Center of economic research, Macroeconomic prognosis
  Research spheres:  Macroeconomics