The Institute forecasts the real GDP growth at 3.4% in 2010. The growth is mainly explained by statistical base effect.
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Archive 2009
The MEFU includes the IER’s forecast of the GDP and its components, disposable income and unemployment rate, fiscal indicators, balance of payments, inflation, exchange rate for current and next years. There are 12 issues per year. Quarterly issues (published in January, April, July and October) present new and revised estimates, while monthly issues focus more on recent trends and define the direction of possible forecast revision in the quarterly issue.
The product is disturbed among subscribers.
Archives:
- 13.12.2009
2010: Slow revival, but nothing exceptional
- 07.11.2009
The third quarter was better than expected
The real GDP might contract less than 15.0% in 2009 thanks to better economic developments in the third quarter. Real GDP will grow by 3.4% in 2010.
- 07.10.2009
Recovery will be slow
The Institute downgraded the forecast of real GDP development. The real GDP is forecasted to contract by 15.0% in 2009. It will grow by 3.4% in 2010.
- 10.09.2009
Fiscal figures are first to be revised
The real GDP is forecasted to contract by 14.1% in 2009. It will grow by 3.9% in 2010 against the background of very low statistical base.
- 04.08.2009
Has Ukraine passed the bottom?
We kept our estimate of real GDP contraction at 14.1% in 2009.
- 10.07.2009
It will be slightly better by the end of the year
The economic performance in Ukraine in the first quarter of 2009 was weak, and this weakness is expected to prevail till the end of the year.
- 05.06.2009
No major changes in economic outlook for Ukraine
We slightly revised the estimate of real GDP contraction to 13.4% in 2009 to incorporate the newest statistical information.
- 14.05.2009
Ukraine at the crossroads
According to the base scenario, the real final consumption, fixed capital accumulation, as well as external demand for Ukrainian products are very weak in 2009.
- 07.04.2009
More cheerful news for 2010
Economic development in Ukraine and in the world was in line with assumptions and expectations embedded in the previous issue of the IER forecast. Therefore, we preserved the estimate of real GDP contraction at 12.0% for 2009, though somewhat changed the development of its components.
- 14.03.2009
In line with expectations
Recent economic developments in Ukraine and in the world were in line with the assumptions and expectations embedded in the previous issue of the IER forecast.
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