Archive 2009

• No major changes in economic outlook for Ukraine

  05.06.2009
  Free

  GDP: We slightly revised the estimate of real GDP contraction to 13.4% in 2009 to incorporate the newest statistical information. The real GDP is forecasted to grow by 3.8% in 2010 against the background of very low statistical base.

  Issue:  No.6 (22) June 2009
  Forecasting period:  2010
  Pessimistic scenario:  Later than assumed recovery of global economy will further suppress demand for Ukrainian exports and restrain access to foreign capital. As a result, under risk scenario the real GDP will drop by 16.2% in 2009 and further decline by 1.5% in 2010.
  Optimistic scenario:  In case of faster recovery of the economic activity in Ukraine, the real GDP is expected to decline by 11.5% in 2009 and grow by 7.4% in 2010.
  Reviewer:  Movchan Veronika
  Attached file  (146.4 kb)
  Authors:  Kravchuk Vitaliy, Naumenko Dmytro, Kobylyanska Alla, Betliy Oleksandra, Возняк Роман
  Tags:  Center of economic research, Macroeconomic prognosis
  Research spheres:  Macroeconomics