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Archive 2002

  • Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine No.1 (1)

    07.10.2002
    Free

    According to the forecast, real GDP will grow by 4.3% in 2002 and by 4.6% in 2003 mainly due to a further increase in private consumption.

    In 2002 state consumption is expected to decrease due to revenue problems, while in 2003 no changes in state consumption is forecasted.

    Compared to 2002, next year investment is expected to increase.

    Faster growth rates of imports than exports will lead to reduction in positive trade balance.

    Value added will rise in all sectors of the economy.

    Inflation is expected to reach 1.4% yoy in 2002 and to increase to 7.6% yoy in 2003.

    Issue:  No. 1 (1) October 2002
    Forecasting period:  2002 - 2003
    Authors:  Movchan Veronika, г

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