Policy Briefing Series

• 06.10.2014

  Can Ukraine secure enough gas for the winter? A scenario analysis

  (Code:TN_05_2014)

  In June 2014 Russia stopped gas exports to Ukraine. Russian gas covered about half of Ukraine’s gas consumption in previous years and during winter demand is about three times higher than in summer. Consequently, without substantial action Ukraine will not be able to cover its gas demand this winter. To ensure adequate supplies Ukraine seeks to reduce gas demand and increase gas imports from the west (‘reverse flows’).

  Authors:  Georg Zachmann
  Tags:  German Advisory Group
• 03.10.2014

  Can Ukraine secure enough gas for the winter? A scenario analysis. September update

  (Code:PB_11_2014)
  Whether Ukraine will be able to get over the winter depends on gas consumption and amount of reverse flows
  Authors:  Georg Zachmann
  Tags:  German Advisory Group
• 07.07.2014

  Labour migration as a factor of economic growth in Ukraine

  (Code:M3_2014)

  According to a survey on labor migration, which was held in 2012, 1.2 million citizens of Ukraine work abroad. However, analysis of data from the EU and Russia indicates that this estimate is too low. The number of Ukrainian labor migrants abroad is estimated at 1.5-2 million people, or 6.8-9.1% economically active population of Ukraine.

  Authors:  Kravchuk Kostiantyn
• 25.06.2014

  Tax Code of Ukraine: Development, impact and application issues

  (Code:PB_08_2014)

  The tax system reforming processes, such as finding ways to improve the efficiency of the tax system and meet the requirements of the state finance, on the one hand; as well as search for ways to reduce the tax burden on the subjects of economy and to optimize expenses of the state, on the other hand are permanent in developed countries.

  Authors:  Natalya Shevchenko, Thomas Otten
  Tags:  German Advisory Group
• 18.06.2014

  Umsatzsteuerbetrug. Methoden und Verfahren zur Bekämpfung

  (Code:PB_07_2014)

  Inhalt:
  1. Umsatzsteuer – Systemüberblick des deutschen Besteuerungssystems
  2. Umsatzsteuerbetrug – Ausgangslage
  3. Kontrollmechanismen
  4. Ausblick und Handlungsempfehlungen für die Ukraine

  Authors:  Thomas Otten, Daniela Heitele
  Tags:  German Advisory Group
• 17.06.2014

  Short-term gas supply options for Ukraine

  (Code:PB_06_2014)

  If properly prepared, Ukraine can get over the winter without Russian gas. Cheapest approach: importing from Russia at a good price – but maintaining sufficient alternative options at a tolerable price -> Paying for insurance! In the medium to long-term additional cheaper options can be made available.

  Authors:  Georg Zachmann, Ricardo Giucci
  Tags:  German Advisory Group
• 17.06.2014

  The Economy of the Donbas in Figures

  (Code:TN_04_2014)

  The current political tensions in Ukraine have led to a new interest in regional aspects of economic activity in the country A particular interest lies in the oblasts Donetsk and Luhansk, which together form the Donets Basin (“Donbas”), a traditional coal-mining region that is heavily industrialised In this presentation, we provide key economic figures for the two oblasts, and compare them to relevant benchmark data on national level

  Authors:  Robert Kirchner, Ricardo Giucci
  Tags:  German Advisory Group
• 02.06.2014

  Reforms in exchange for visa-free travel: how Ukraine takes an Action Plan on visa liberalization?

  (Code:M2_2014)

  On November 22, 2010, Ukraine received from the European Union an Action Plan on Visa Liberalisation (APVL), which became an important practical result of the visa dialogue in relations between Ukraine and the European Union.

  Authors:  Сушко Ірина
• 18.05.2014

  Ukrainian exports to Russia: Sector and regional exposure

  (Code:TN_03_2014)

  The Russian Federation accounted for 23.8% of Ukrainian merchandise exports in 2013. Consequently, risks for trade disruptions with Russia are of great concern for the Ukrainian authorities and companies. In this context it is important to quantify the overall exposure of Ukraine to the Russian market, as well as the exposure at sector and regional level.

  Authors:  Ryzhenkov Mykola, Movchan Veronika, Ricardo Giucci
  Tags:  German Advisory Group
• 18.04.2014

  Ukraine between East and West. Perspectives for free trade with both sides

  (Code:PB_05_2014)

  1. Three groups of countries
  2. Ukraine: Free trade with both blocks?
  3. Free trade between the EU and CU?

  Authors:  Movchan Veronika, Ricardo Giucci
  Tags:  German Advisory Group