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Archive 2013

  • 29.11.2013

    Impact assessment of a possible change in Russias trade regime vis-a-vis Ukraine

    (Code:PB_04_2013)
    • Russia might change its trade regime vis-a-vis Ukraine from the current free trade regime to Most-Favoured-Nation (MFN) status
    • In such a case, Russian average import tariffs for Ukrainian goods would increase from 0% to 10.6%
    • As a result, based on data from 2010-2012, Ukrainian exports to Russia would decrease by 17% or USD 3.0 bn per year 
    • The decrease in exports to Russia would have a negative short-term impact on Ukraine, amounting to 1.7% of annual GDP
    • The most affected product groups would be:

    –Minerals

    –Based metals

    –Transport equipment

    –Machinery

    –Finished foods

    • Thus: The impact on the Ukrainian economy would be significant 
    Attached file  (340.3 kb)
    Authors:  Ryzhenkov Mykola, Movchan Veronika, Ricardo Giucci
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