At the end of 2013 necessary hryvnia devaluation was considered at the level of 9-9,5 USD. In March and April 2014 after the Maidan events and civil unrest in the optimistic scenario the "equilibrium" rate was considered at 10-11 USD, more pessimistic - 12-13 USD. However, production and export in the Donetsk and Lugansk regions collapsed in the summer.
The full article find in Ukrainian
