In the new issue of the MEFU No.12 (52):
Meanwhile, we are likely to keep our forecast for real GDP growth at 3.6% in 2012. This estimate is based on the assumptions of stabilisation of debt situation in the EU in the first half of the year and returned confidence in the global economy in the second half of the year.
We think that fiscal situation will remain difficult in 2012 taking into account decelerated economic growth, growth of government liabilities, and tight banking liquidity.
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Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine is a regular publication of the Institute, which includes the forecast of GDP and its components, fiscal indicators, balance of payments, inflation, exchange rate for the current and following years.
