Macroeconomics

• 22.03.2018

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine No.3 (209)

  Highlight: GAS MARKET
  Late February was marked by the victory celebration at the Ukrainian gas market as Ukrainian Naftogaz won the case on gas transit against the Russian Gazprom at the Stockholm Arbitrage Court. Together with almost USD 2 bn that the Naftogaz owes the Gazprom in the gas case, the Naftogaz net win is USD 2.6 bn. However, already on March 1, 2018, Russia used the same tactic against Ukraine as it did in 2009: refusing to supply gas to the country. Ukraine faced gas shortage.
  Authors:  Ірина Коссе, Олександра Бетлій
  
  
• 17.11.2017

  Ukraine’s economic recovery: good, but slow

  The Ukrainian economic crisis of 2014-15 was caused by a number of factors, each one coinciding and reinforcing the other. Today, the country’s economy is recovering, but it remains highly dependent on the speed and the ultimate success of several key reforms, of which judiciary reform is the most important.
  Category:  Articles
  Authors:  Movchan Veronika
  
  
• 01.08.2016

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine - Positive signs emerge

  Economic activity in the first half of 2016 increased as compared to the first half of 2015, but was lower than expected. This to large degree reflected difficulties in moving products and inputs to their customers. We project that economic activity will increase in the remainder of 2016 as logistical problems reduce and external conditions improve. Thus, we will likely keep our forecast of GDP growth in 2016.
  Category:  Forecast
  Authors:  Stepaniuk Oleksa, Ryzhenkov Mykola, Kovalchuk Artur, Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
  
  
• 16.04.2014

  Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine – quarterly issue - Growth delayed for another year

  The Institute expects real GDP of Ukraine (including Crimea) to drop by 3.5% in 2014. However, risks remain high as Russian annexation of Crimea and Russian-provoked unrest in the Eastern, make Ukraine’s future highly uncertain.

  Category:  Forecast
  Authors:  Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
  
  
• 30.09.2010

  Investment perspectives remain uncertain

  Real GDP is expected to grow at 4.3% in 2010 and 4.9% in 2011 with potential for revision of estimates of its components.

  Category:  Forecast
  Authors:  Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
  
  

• Impact of trade policy on human development: study for Ukraine

  To study the impact of trade policy on human development in Ukraine.
  Category:  Projects
  
  
• 28.12.2009

  Monthly Economic Monitor Ukraine №12 (110)

  According to the preliminary estimate of the Derzhkomstat, the real GDP contraction in the third quarter of 2009 decelerated to 15.9% yoy.
  
  HIGHLIGHT OF THE MONTH: Twelve months of banking crisis

  
  
• 13.12.2009

  2010: Slow revival, but nothing exceptional

  The Institute forecasts the real GDP growth at 3.4% in 2010. The growth is mainly explained by statistical base effect.

  Category:  Forecast
  Authors:  Furmanets Kateryna, Naumenko Dmytro, Kobylyanska Alla, Betliy Oleksandra, Kravchuk Vitaliy
  
  

• Ukraine's Modernization. Defining Priorities for Reforms

  To develop conceptual recommendations for reforms, aimed at upgrading various aspects of public life in Ukraine.
  Category:  Projects
  
  
• 01.12.2009

  "If someone thinks that we can make some magical arrangements and guide Ukraine out of the recession in spite of the world trends - it is just populism and myth"

  We have already passed the "bottom" of the fall. We will get "plus" in the basic scenario in 2010 despite all the problems. GDP growth will be triggered by the economic activity of the metallurgists, the chemists, and in agriculture.

  Category:  Comments
  Authors:  Burakovsky Igor