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    Ukraine's macroeconomic review

    Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

    Ukraine 2016: Macroeconomic Stability but Slower Reforms

    Year 2016 in Ukraine became a year of starting on the economic recovery path. Real GDP growth in 2016 is estimated at 1.4%. It was supported by...More
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    Research Fellow in Economic Analysis and Modelling / Agricultural Economics

    Deadline: 10/02/2017More
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    Main victories of 2016 - the new Monthly economic monitor Ukraine is out

    Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

    2016 became a year of start of the economic recovery path.

    Real GDP growth in 2016 is estimated at 1.4%. It was supported by higher domestic demand. In particular, real private final consumption increased due to higher disposable income primarily attributed to increase in wage income.More

    Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine No.11-12 (110)

    Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

    Gradual recovery is projected to ramp up in 2018

    According to our baseline scenario real GDP in 2017 is forecasted to growth by 2.6% due to further increase in domestic demand. In 2018...More
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    Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine No.9 (108)

    Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

    Recovery goes on despite global gloom

    According to our base scenario real GDP is expected to grow at 1.1% in 2016 and 2.7% in 2017. Growth will be supported by higher domestic demand.More
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    Year 2015: Economic Summary for Ukraine

    Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

    Many challenges but some wins as well

    We are happy to announce that we have released our annual "Economic results of the year". "Economic results of the year 2015" contains a brief analysis of key indicators and policy measures of the year.More
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    Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine No.8 (107)

    Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting

    Slow way to recovery

    Economic activity in the first half of 2016 real GDP increased by 0.8% yoy, which was lower than we expected. This is primarily related to...More

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  • Effectiveness and efficiency of budget expenditures: analysis of budget inquiries of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine

    From the speech of Olexandra Betliy at the conference "Public spending in Ukraine: how to achieve more, spending less?", which took place on 12 December 2016.More
  • Bureaucracy and nontransparent VAT refunds are main obstacles for exporters in Ukraine

    Ukrainian exporters surveyed by the IERs Trade Facilitation Dialogue project say that inefficient and non-transparent value-added tax (VAT) refunds system and high levels of bureaucracy are the biggest obstacles for export. The survey also reveals that smaller enterprises tend to be more burdened by complicated customs procedures and lack of transparency in the operation of tax agencies. Furthermore, unpredictable trade policy of Ukraine is a more significant barrier for small and medium exporters than for bigger ones. More
  • Low demand and political instability top the list of obstacles for business in Ukraine

    Low demand and unfavorable political situation are the major obstacles for the development of industrial enterprises in Ukraine as of early 2015. This was demonstrated by the results of the quarterly business survey in which Ukrainian businesses assessed the 4th quarter of 2014. The survey was conducted by the Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting and presented in the special Business Climate and Reforms Ukrainian Business Expectations in 2015 report.More

  • Inflation and "inflation expectations": how did the prices change?

    In recent days, the foreign exchange market rate stabilized in the interbank market at 21.50 UAH, and "gray" course (such as a bank card transactions) - at the level of 25-26 UAH. However, consumer prices in Ukraine continued to grow with the growth of expenditures on the various stages of production and supply, and in response to what is officially called "inflation expectations": everybody raised prices, then also we did.More

  • A third of Ukraines small and medium business hopes to benefit from the Free Trade Area with the European Union

    Ukrainian small and medium enterprises are poorly represented on the European market and expect no major benefits from the establishment of the Free Trade Area between Ukraine and the European Union. At the same time, they are less wary of risks associated with the trade liberalization with the EU. In particular, small and medium businesses are less likely than big ones to suffer from sanctions from Russia and from a possible cancellation of free trade between Ukraine and the Russian Federation.More

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